Great discussion / debate guys. While I have my own views I appreciate hearing a diverse set of perspectives.
A few thoughts from my end:
I don't think it matters much, what Trump says now about getting back to work by Easter. I'm critical of him for sure, but I think most people know he's blowing smoke. Every indication is that by Easter we're going to be in a world of hurt. Here's today's chart from worldometers.info, updated through yesterday.
There's no reason to think the chart which shows exponential growth is going to suddenly cap off anytime soon. If we observed ideal social distancing starting this past Monday, with everybody locked in their homes, the chart would bend over about a month from now. That's time enough for the people who were asymptomatically infected on Monday to present symptoms and add to the deaths, plus two cycles of transmission to others in the home, before it burns out. That's a "best case scenario." When the deaths are in the thousands per day nobody is going to be anxious to get back out in contact with others and packing churches on Easter.
Also there's the fact that business has by and large already written down May, from the perspective that it's broadly assumed that the lockdowns will still be in place for at least two months. Shows have been cancelled, plans have been scrapped, orders have been cancelled, and any coordinated business events are off the table until at least June. Mostly, End of June.
And while the situation may be framed in U.S. terms as "the administration versus the opposition" if you want, there's also the global stage. Even if we get this under control in a month, here, a lot of countries will be in full meltdown all through the summer. It's easy to think of this as a US problem, but much of business is global these days. Supply, demand, customers, vendors, it's all a global soup.
I am wishing all of you well. This place is one of my communities and I enjoy interacting with all of you. Stay safe, friends.