Am I understanding the numbers correctly?
There are around 380,000,000 people in the US. Using the low numbers, 40% will get it and 0.5% will die, this means over 760,000 deaths?
Nope. 0.5% of those that test positive with the current testing criteria. Under the current guidelines, not everyone is tested and not everyone is symptomatic.
40-70% will become infected on the current trajectory. Many will not even know they are ill or have symptoms severe enough to test. If we get a rapid test, the criteria might change and so would these estimates.