Yes, I know, I'm late to the party.
One thing no one has noted so far is that there is already very little cooperation on board between the American and Russian sides. There's a little, and now and then a meet up. But to cease all cooperation wouldn't be all that big a change. A change for the worse in my opinion, yet not much of one.
Agreed. Science has always tried to be "above the fray." Scientists often lobbied for exemptions to government bans so that scientists from politically unpopular countries (think Cold War) could attend, or present papers at, international conferences.
Maybe I'm more cynical than others, but I see Russia's invasion as evidence that the original reason for cooperating on ISS is a failure.
International cooperation---especially with Russia---was supposed to bring nations together and promote peace and understanding.
I think that aim has failed here as Putin's war indicates, so end our cooperation.
As I say, maybe I'm just a cynic. But I don't see us sitting in a circle singing Kumabyah is bringing peace.
Putin and his avaricious hostility won't last forever. It'd be good if there is some sort of cooperative project already in place, having been in place all along, when he goes.
In many ways, I'm a cynic too, though I try to be a cynical optimist. If we left the ISS as a "rebuke to Russia" we'd be handing them the 3/4 of the station that we built. That would be seen as a retreat and a public relations win by Russia. The optimist side of me says that there's symbolic value in continuing to work together. But the cynic definitely doesn't want to give them the opportunity to lock the hatches behind us.
In other words, leaving now would be cutting of our nose to spite our face.
Thanks for your thoughts, boatgeek.
Several points (and this is coming from a long-time observer and supporter of our space program and as the author of several dozen published articles, commentaries, reviews, and conference papers spanning forty years):
1) The ISS has been up there over twenty years and has yet to produce any Nobel Prize-class research. The last use of it is to collect human factors data by keeping a crew of men and women up there for long enough to simulate around trip to Mars. I don't know why they're not doing that before ISS end-of-life.
2) Russia has already publicly stated they're leaving year after next. So let them go.
3) We relied on them for ten years to get our guys up there and back after Shuttle. Nobody seemed to care that we let ourselves in such a humiliating position. So, leaving now would not produce a whimper of public sentiment either.
4) As I understand it, the US side provides most of the electricity for all the Station; Russia provides re-boost with the Progress vehicles. Musk has already said a Dragon capsule could do re-boost. So, we don't need Russia for that. But they need our electricity.
5) If NASA has any future in manned spaceflight at all, it is in the Artemis Program. Retire from the ISS, and get going full steam on Artemis, before someone in Congress thinks we should cancel it. And leave before the aging hardware breaks down in a possibly catastrophic way.
So, yes---still a cynic. Although I prefer to think I'm just a realist.
Most of that post gives very good reasons to be either happy or unconcerned should the Russians leave, not reasons for us to leave. The fifth point is the exception. Artemis and the ISS seem to be intended to serve different purposes. I think there's room for both is a good long term strategy. But there likely isn't money for both, sadly.
It can't be easily disassembled - it wasn't meant to be. It would involve opening access hatches that were designed to shut permanently once modules were connected and disconnecting cables that were built to be permanently connected. As for functioning, I'm less sure about that, but it seems likely that an engineering solution exists to allow the ISS to function without the Russian segment. A more likely scenario has NASA astronauts being trained to operate the Russian segment or replacing their functionality with something else per Elon Musk's suggestion.
All along there have been modules added now and then. It's a darn shame that there weren't older modules retired and replaced, as well as net additions. If that had been done, it might not be facing end of life so soon. Yes, I get that disconnecting modules would be hard, but it would have been doable if it had been planned. And I wonder if it's really too late. But it probably is.
If we want to continue working with the ISS after Russia departs, and our other partners agree, why not boost it into a stable orbit (geosynchronous or other) and continue to do research outside of low earth orbit. Probably a lot less expensive to maintain a somewhat stable orbit than one that requires frequent modification.
Many have already detailed the massive technical problems with that. Just to put it in perspective, NO manned mission has EVER gone above about 300 miles altitude except for the Apollo moon missions. GEO is about 22,000 miles, more than 70 times higher, and nearly a tenth of the way to the moon.
If it were up to me, I'd say boost it into a higher orbit, in a stable Lagrange point, with the hopes that one day it can become a part of an off-world international historical museum.
Oh, dear lord! The only stable Lagrange points are L
4 and L
5; the others require frequent corrections just as GEO orbits do. L
4 and L
5 are 1 AU away, so well outside the Earth-Moon combined gravity well, requiring even more delta-V than reaching the moon does; a lot more if I'm not mistaken, but I haven't done the calculation. The nearest Lagrange points, L
1 and L
2, are nearly a million miles away, so about four times the Earth-Moon distance. (L
3 is on the other side of the sun; enough said about that.)