When a rocket leaves the guidance of the launch rail, there is a sudden onset of rotation into the relative wind. The angle of attack can be surprisingly large - the effective wind direction is just the vector sum of the velocity along the rail and the crosswind. If the rocket is at 50 fps and the crosswind is 9 fps (about 6 mph), the AOA is about 10 degrees. That is really a lot for TARC. At our site we require TARC rockets to use 6 foot rails and don't allow motors under ~F30.
There is a separate issue about flexing of the launch pad due to motor thrust on the blast deflector. If the deflector is directly mounted to the pad (as they usually are), when the motor starts up the initial force of the motor is absorbed almost entirely by the deflector, applying force to the launcher that is proportional to the initial thrust and dependent also on the angle of the deflector. A lot of leg systems including jawstands and almost all fabricated "spider" stands are pretty springy; they will deflect from the initial thrust and then snap back as the rocket gets higher up the rail and the thrust is no longer directly hitting the deflector. This can cause a noticeable "tipoff" even with no wind.