The Estes figures may be conservative, but as Shreadvector said many factors need to be considered.
We recently overbuilt an 'HGA - Dishonest Johnson' with TTW fins and epoxy and J-B weld, but left the MMT at 18mm. We should have gone for 24 but we use a small field and didn't want to lose it.
After finishing and weighing, it was 13 grams over Estes' MLW with a C6. Bummer.
Then I run into a simple online simulation program that I can't find now and plugged in the figures. 332 feet! What to do?
Well, I had used a 3/16" LL and on a perfectly calm day loaded it with a C6-3 on a 5 foot rod, gave a very loud 'heads up" and had a kid push the button (70 feet away from the pad relay box). Fine flight, ejection at apogee and touch down 50 feet from pad. Every objective observer agreed - "Yeah, that looks like 300 feet".
Two more flights that day with identical results.
However, I must agree that many factors need to be considered before launching any questionable rocket. Safety first!
Beautiful rocket,but I WILL NOT launch it in wind.
Now we just wait for Aerotech to get some 18mm stuff out there.