- Dec 27, 2014
- Reaction score
On your first point, we don't really know what the status of the hospitals in Wuhan was before the outbreak. If they normally operated with most or all beds full, it wouldn't take very many additional cases to make a few hospitals look really bad on a few days. We probably wouldn't see pictures of a hospital with nobody in the waiting room because that isn't newsworthy. For context, London needs about 20,000 hospital beds for normal operations. If Wuhan is the same size, they were probably already 6K beds short of what they should have had, which is what they're building out now.*If* the Chinese numbers are accurate. But, as the video I posted earlier pointed out, China's numbers are suspect. If there are only 2700 cases in Wuhan, a city the size of London with 14,000 hospital beds, then why are hospitals overwhelmed and running out of supplies, and why does China have a crash construction program to build two new hospitals with 3000 more beds? Something doesn't add up.
Then again, even with the numbers currently available, why are other nations, including ours, even allowing flights from hot zones to land, or at least to de-plane passengers? Especially true if, as reported, carriers can be asymtomatic *and* contagious for up to two weeks.