Possible satellite collision over Pittsburgh - Wednesday, 29 Jan 2020 @ 6:39:35 PM local

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Winston

Lorenzo von Matterhorn
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900km directly above Pittsburgh, PA, a 1 in 100 chance of satellite collision.

https://twitter.com/LeoLabs_Space/status/1221908248305061889

1/ We are monitoring a close approach event involving IRAS (13777), the decommissioned space telescope launched in 1983, and GGSE-4 (2828), an experimental US payload launched in 1967.

2/ On Jan 29 at 23:39:35 UTC, these two objects will pass close by one another at a relative velocity of 14.7 km/s (900km directly above Pittsburgh, PA). Our latest metrics on the event show a predicted miss distance of between 15-30 meters.

3/ These numbers are especially alarming considering the size of IRAS at 3.6m x 3.24m x 2.05m. The combined size of both objects increases the computed probability of a collision, which remains near 1 in 100.

4/ Events like this highlight the need for responsible, timely deorbiting of satellites for space sustainability moving forward. We will continue to monitor this event through the coming days and provide updates as available.


Two Satellites Could Collide Tonight

https://www.popularmechanics.com/space/satellites/a30682394/satellites-collision/

They’ll be hurtling along their orbit at a relative velocity of about 32,880 miles per hour...

NASA, the Netherlands Agency for Aerosace Programmes, and the U.K.'s Science and Engineering Research Council launched the Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS) from Vandenberg Air Force Base in California on January 25, 1983. IRAS carried three scientific instruments: a survey array, a low resolution spectrometer and a chopped photometric channel.

For 10 months, the space telescope monitored the skies in infrared wavelengths. It discovered six new comets, charted our galaxy’s guts, and uncovered evidence of solid material—an indicator of planetary formation—around the stars Vega and Formalhaut. The 2103-pound telescope was put to pasture on November 21, 1983.

...the U.S. Naval Reconnaissance Office, the National Security Agency, and the Naval Research Lab launched the other spacecraft, GGSE-4 or POPPY 5b, from Vandenberg in 1967—one of a seven-satellite intelligence mission. Some information about the POPPY program was declassified in 2005. The 187-pound satellite has 59-foot-long gravity gradient booms that reach out into space—an obvious concern given the close distance in which the two satellites are projected to pass. It was decommissioned in 1972.


POPPY Program Fact Sheet

https://www.webcitation.org/5qRZz99Uc?url=https://www.fas.org/irp/nro/poppy.pdf

IRAS - 2,103 lb

epu6-newoaegq0y-1580220223.jpeg


GGSE-4 (POPPY 5b) - 187 lb

poppy-type-2-1580219986.jpg
 
It's like move Gravity, cascading collisions.
14.7 km/s at 20 meters!! Could it even be seen?
 
Well, I've got lucky a couple of times. I had to travel out west for a job and was over the Rockies at 41000 ft and saw a fabulous view of the Hale-Bopp comet. And two of my kids and I got up in the middle of the night and drove 80 miles to get away from the fog for the Leonids meteor storm - and they were coming as fast as 30 a minute, so it was really a once-in-a-lifetime for me. I did good with this last solar eclipse, too, took many good photos and just enjoyed being outside in the changing light; but I'd really wanted to get under the path of totality... maybe next time, when it cuts up through Ohio to Erie. Still, Pittsburgh and astronomical events don't get along very well.
 
Fortunately we can see Cape Canaveral launches living on the west coast of Florida. Occasionally visit the east coast for the real deal, within 50 miles of the shots. The last Space-X had two booms - the launch, and the booster abort.
 
That's neat - my sister & mother are mid-state. For the last Shuttle landing, for some reason I woke up, so I got both computers going and was watching NASA on one and the Google Earth 3D animation on the other. All of a sudden my mother calls, which was really out of character because it was what - 4:00 in the morning? Anyway, she stayed on the line. I saw it pass over Winter Haven at 90,000 ft and Mach 3 or thereabouts, and a few minutes later the classic double boom. She was impressed! Me too, when you think about a typical airliner descent, and these guys are at 90,000 ft and Mach 3; and then they dead-stick a landing a few minutes later only 75 miles away...
 
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