Tiangong-1 predicted to reenter around April 3rd, 2018 ± 1 week.

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Winston

Lorenzo von Matterhorn
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https://www.aerospace.org/cords/reentry-predictions/tiangong-1-reentry/

"The map below shows the relative probabilities of debris landing within a given region. Yellow indicates locations that have a higher probability while green indicates areas of lower probability. Blue areas have zero probability of debris reentry since Tiangong-1 does not fly over these areas."

TG-1_Coverage_Plot_Annotated.png


4628980000000578-0-image-a-9_1510216843043_0.jpg
 
so if the station hits my house(I'm in the yellow zone), who do I sue?:)
Rex
 
I assume from the map that each successive orbit moves to the East? Just my luck, it will go one more orbit than predicted. My homeowner's doesn't cover this - I just checked. Beats getting hit by a toilet seat from the space station, though...
 
Heh, I really liked that show. The toilet seat re-entry moment from the first episode:

[video=youtube;ugWpj88EWt4]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ugWpj88EWt4[/video]
 
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Heh, I really liked that show.
So did I and was disappointed when the show was suddenly dropped after a second season, supposedly due to serious creative differences between the writers/producers and MGM Television. Too bad some adults just can't seem to grow the hell up...

Reentry date is narrowing down:

TIANGONG-1 Reentry Updates

https://blogs.esa.int/rocketscience/2018/01/12/tiangong-1-reentry-updates/

timewindow_1-1.png


[video=youtube;JsDpqtl5hsE]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JsDpqtl5hsE[/video]
 
I'm guessing at some point they're going to reveal that it's in a safe orbit that won't decay for a billion years...:wink:
 
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